html
Recent polling data indicates that blank" rel="noopener">Vice President Kamala Harris has gained a slight edge over former President Donald Trump in crucial "blue wall" states, which are essential for her presidential bid.
According to Marist polls released on Friday, Harris leads Trump by two percentage points in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, with results showing 50% to 48%. Additionally, a separate poll from Wisconsin reveals a three-point advantage for Harris at 51% compared to Trump's 48%.
These figures fall within the margin of error for the Marist polls—3.4 points for Michigan and Pennsylvania and 3.5 points for Wisconsin—indicating that while she is ahead, the race remains competitive. The surveys were conducted between October 27-30.
blank" rel="noopener">HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN: NEW POLLS REVEAL A TIGHT RACE IN KEY BATTLEGROUNDS
The current statistics suggest another tightly contested election is on the horizon next Tuesday, reminiscent of the razor-thin margins seen in previous cycles; during the last election in 2020, just a mere 44,000 votes across pivotal battlegrounds secured President Biden's victory over Trump. Similarly, Trump's win in 2016 was determined by fewer than 78,000 votes across three critical blue wall states.
The modest leads that Harris enjoys can be attributed largely to independent voters who seem to be leaning towards her as Election Day approaches. In Michigan alone, she has expanded her lead among independents from two points earlier this month to six points now (52%-46%). In Wisconsin as well, her support among independents grew from four points earlier this September to six points at month's end.
blank" rel="noopener">CLOSING ARGUMENTS: HARRIS CHALLENGES TRUMP WITH THE WHITE HOUSE AS HER STAGE
The most significant shift appears in Pennsylvania where Marist reports an impressive swing of 19 percentage points among independent voters; currently showing Harris at an impressive 55%, while Trump trails at just 40%. This marks a notable change from September when Trump held a narrow lead of 49%-45% among these voters.
"Pennsylvania stands out as the most coveted prize among these highly competitive blue wall states," stated Dr. Lee Miringoff from the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. "The positive aspect for Harris is her stronger performance with independents and white voters compared to Biden's results four years ago; however, it's worth noting that the gender gap isn't as pronounced here as it was previously or even compared to other regions."
Additional polling data released on Friday reinforces this close contest.
A USA Today/Suffolk poll shows both candidates tied in Pennsylvania with each receiving exactly half (49%) of likely voter support based on responses gathered between October 27 and October30—a survey with a margin of error of ±4.4 percentage points.
"This race can be classified as essentially neck-and-neck," remarked David Paleologos from Suffolk University Political Research Center regarding their findings reported by USA Today.
The final Detroit Free Press poll also indicates that Harris holds a slight three-point lead over Trump amongst likely voters in Michigan—bolstered significantly by backing from women and Black constituents—even though this margin remains within its own ±4-point error range.
The Rust Belt states forming part of the Democratic Party's "blue wall” collectively account for an important total of 44 Electoral College votes: Pennsylvania contributes 19, Michigan offers 15, while Wisconsin provides 10 electoral votes respectively.
If Harris manages victories in both Pennsylvania along with one additional blue wall state then it would necessitate Trump winning all remaining swing states—including Arizona Georgia Nevada North Carolina—to secure his path back into office.
Stay updated on developments throughout Campaign Season via our Fox News Digital election hub!
Source
Harris Edges Out Trump in Key ‘Blue Wall’ States: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin Poll Reveals!
Leave a comment
